Real Estate April 19, 2023

The Latest on Home Prices According to Experts

Think Twice Before Waiting for Lower Home Prices

As the housing market continues to change, you may be wondering where it’ll go from here. One factor you’re probably thinking about is home prices, which have come down a bit since they peaked last June. And you’ve likely heard something in the news or on social media about a price crash on the horizon. As a result, you may be holding off on buying a home until prices drop significantly. But that’s not the best strategy.

A recent survey from Zonda shows 53% of millennials are still renting right now because they’re waiting for home prices to come down. But here’s the thing: the most recent data shows that home prices appear to have bottomed out and are now on the rise again. Selma Hepp, Chief Economist at CoreLogic, reports:

“U.S. home prices rose by 0.8% in February . . . indicating that prices in most markets have already bottomed out.”

And the latest data from Black Knight shows the same shift. The graph below compares home price trends in November to those in February:

So, should you keep waiting to buy a home until prices come down? If you factor in what the experts are saying, you probably shouldn’t. The data shows prices are increasing in much of the country, not decreasing. And the latest data from the Home Price Expectation Survey indicates that experts project home prices will rise steadily and return to more normal levels of appreciation after 2023. The best way to understand what home values are doing in your area is to work with a local real estate professional who can give you the latest insights and expert advice.

Bottom Line

If you’re waiting to buy a home until prices come down, you may want to reconsider. Let’s connect to make sure you understand what’s happening in our local housing market.

 

 

*From Keeping Current Matters. The information contained, and the opinions expressed, in this article are not intended to be construed as investment advice. Keeping Current Matters, Inc. does not guarantee or warrant the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein. Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision. Keeping Current Matters, Inc. will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on the information or opinions contained herein.

Homeowners April 4, 2023

Packing Tips and Advice for an Easier Move

Home buyers and sellers have one task in common: moving.  While every situation and move is unique, packing your home, regardless of the size, is most definitely a complex job.

Recently, The New York times published an article, with fabulous tips, advice and supplies recommendations that help make any move go smooth.

Get Rid of Excess

Every item you move with you adds to the total cost, which is why it makes sense to cull the things you no longer use. Declutter, donate, and throw out what you don’t use anymore prior to moving.

Use uniform boxes

Ideally, boxes should all be of uniform size, especially if you’re loading into a moving truck or hiring movers. The more uniform the boxes, the easier they are to move and stack; this will save you time and reduce the chance of things breaking during transit. Avoid Packing Heavy

Remember to pack your lightest items (like pillows, blankets, and light clothing) in the biggest boxes. Your heaviest items (such as books and office papers) should go in the smallest boxes.

Boxes and Bins

Consider buying your boxes in bulk from moving suppliers rather than getting them from chain home improvement stores. Moving kits are more cost efficient and the cardboard is usually thicker and better quality.

Wardrobe boxes make it easy to pack all the nice clothing hanging in your closet. And it holds you to the golden moving rule—where possible, everything in a box!

In certain circumstances, it makes sense to use storage containers (plastic bins) to pack things you don’t plan to use right away, including items you’ll store in a garage for months or years after your move.

Eco Friendly Box Alternative

If you want to forego cardboard boxes entirely—either to reduce waste or because you’re worried about water damage from weather—consider crate rentals. You’ll also avoid the endless folding, taping, and breaking down that comes with using cardboard boxes. These companies not only deliver the boxes but also pick them up on a date you set. So, at the end of your move, you don’t have to deal with getting rid of all that cardboard.

Protect your items and furniture

If you’re prepping your own truck or storage container, you’ll want at least a few cheap moving blankets. Throw them over expensive wood items, pad the floor before lowering a mattress or headrest, or tape them around large but fragile objects.

Another go to supply is Stretch wrap. Stretch wrap is a favorite of professional movers for a reason. With stretch wrap, you can quickly bundle things that otherwise wouldn’t fit together into a single cardboard box or standalone cocoon. And it keeps furniture, like dressers or bureaus, from opening mid-lift.

Don’t forget about your mattresses. Ask your moving company whether it has mattress bags. If it doesn’t (or you’re not hiring movers), consider buying a heavy tarpaulin mattress bag. Unlike plastic mattress bags, these are easier to carry without tearing.

Buy extra paper, bubble wrap, and void fill

If you want to pack like a pro, this is where it starts.  Packing paper and bubble wrap are great for protecting plates, bowls, glassware, and any other delicate items. You’ll need more than you think, but when you use either of these, packing up a kitchen is mind-blowingly easy. In a pinch, you can use Newspaper, but it can stain white dishes and pates.

Buy enough packing tape

When possible—especially if you’re packing up several rooms’ worth of boxes—buy the best-quality tape you can: You’ll need approximately one roll of tape for every 15 to 20 boxes. And use a tape gun to seal boxes faster. This will cut some time off the job at hand.

Label Each Box

To know what’s what during a move, you should label every box, bin, and bag. The best way to do that is to have plenty of Sharpie markers on hand. They’re inexpensive, so go nuts—one per person or one in each room, one at the door, and another in the truck.

Get Heavy Duty Contractor Bags

Moving never fails to produce extra waste. And strong trash bags are invaluable for clearing out the various kinds of trash you accumulate when moving.

Unpacking supplies

Packing is only half the job. At the other end of the trail, you’ll be unpacking everything. It’s much easier to open and break down cartons if you use a good box cutter and use light work gloves to protect your hands and fingers.

 

From “The Best Supplies and Packing Advice for Making Moving Less Miserable”, published on March 7, 2023.

 

Uncategorized March 23, 2023

What’s Ahead for Home Prices in 2023

If  you are wondering if you should you buy a home this Spring, continue reading

Over the past year, home prices have been a widely debated topic. Some have said we’ll see a massive drop in prices and that this could be a repeat of 2008 – which hasn’t happened. Others have forecasted a real estate market that could see slight appreciation or depreciation depending on the area of the country. And as we get closer to the spring real estate market, experts are continuing to forecast what they believe will happen with home prices this year and beyond.

Selma Hepp, Chief Economist at CoreLogic, says:

While 2023 kicked off on a more optimistic note for the U.S. housing market, recent mortgage rate volatility highlights how much uncertainty remains. Nevertheless, the continued shortage of for-sale homes is likely to keep price declines modest, which are projected to top out at 3% peak to trough.”

Additionally, every quarter, Pulsenomics surveys a panel of over 100 economists, investment strategists, and housing market analysts regarding their five-year expectations for future home prices in the United States. Here’s what they said most recently:

So, given this information and what experts are saying about home prices, the question you might be asking is: should I buy a home this spring? Here are three reasons you should consider making a move:

  1. Buying a home helps you escape the cycle of rising rents. Over the past several decades, the median price of rent has risen consistently. The bottom line is, rent is going up.
  2. Homeownership is a hedge against inflation. A key advantage of homeownership is that it’s one of the best hedges against inflation. When you buy a home with a fixed-rate mortgage, you secure your housing payment, so it won’t go up like it would if you rent.
  3. Homeownership is a powerful wealth-building tool. The average net worth of a homeowner is $255,000 compared to $6,300 for a renter.

Experts are projecting slight price depreciation in the housing market this year, followed by steady appreciation. Given that, you may be wondering if you should move ahead with buying a home this spring. The decision to purchase a home is best made when you do it knowing all the facts and have an expert on your side.

Bottom Line

Let’s connect so you can make the most informed decision about your next move.

Uncategorized February 24, 2023

Getting Your House Ready to Sell this Spring

Real Estate February 8, 2023

The Latest Real Estate Market Statistics

The Number of Homes for Sale Up from Last Year, but Below Pre-Pandemic Years

The biggest challenge in the housing market right now, and likely for years to come, is how few homes there are for sale compared to the number of people who want to buy. That’s why, if you’re thinking about selling your house, this is a great time to do so. Your house would be welcome in a market that has fewer homes for sale than it did in the years leading up to the pandemic.

According to the latest Monthly Housing Market Trends Report from realtor.com:

“There were 65.5% more homes for sale in January compared to the same time in 2022. This means that there were 248,000 more homes available to buy this past month compared to one year ago. While the number of homes for sale is increasing, it is still 43.2% lower than it was before the pandemic in 2017 to 2019. This means that there are still fewer homes available to buy on a typical day than there were a few years ago.”

The graph below shows how today’s inventory of homes for sale compares to recent years:

What Does This Mean for You?

Fewer homes for sale means buyers have fewer choices than they did prior to the pandemic—and that frustration is leading some to give up on the homebuying process altogether. But with mortgage rates sitting lower than they were at the peak last fall, more buyers are willing to come back into the process—they just need to find homes to buy. This is welcome activity for the spring market, especially if you’re thinking of selling your house.

With a renewed interest in buying a home for many, the New York Times (NYT) reports:

“Home buyers are edging back into the market after being sidelined last year . . .”

So, if you want to take advantage of a sweet spot in the market, this spring could be your shot.

Bottom Line

The housing market needs more homes for sale to meet the demand of today’s buyers. If you’ve thought about selling, now’s the time for us to connect and get ready for you to make a move this spring.

 

*From Keeping Current Matters, Inc. The information contained, and the opinions expressed, in this article are not intended to be construed as investment advice. Keeping Current Matters, Inc. does not guarantee or warrant the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein. Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision. Keeping Current Matters, Inc. will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on the information or opinions contained herein.

Real Estate January 27, 2023

What are the 3 Factors that Affect Home Affordabilty?

If you’ve been following the housing market over the last couple of years, you’ve likely heard about growing affordability challenges. But according to experts, the key factors that determine housing affordability are projected to improve this year. Selma Hepp, Executive, Deputy Chief Economist at CoreLogicshares:

“. . . with slowly improving affordability and a more optimistic economic outlook than previously believed, the housing market could show resilience in 2023.”

The three measures used to establish home affordability are home prices, mortgage rates, and wages. Here’s a closer look at each one.

1. Mortgage Rates

Mortgage rates shot up to over 7% last year, causing many buyers to put their plans on hold. But things are looking different today as rates are starting to come down. George Ratiu, Senior Economist at realtor.comexplains:

“Let’s celebrate some good news. . . . mortgage rates are down. With inflation showing a tangible slowdown, I do expect mortgage rates to follow suit in the months ahead.”

Even a small change in rates can impact your purchasing power. Nadia Evangelou, Director of Forecasting for the National Association of Realtors (NAR), gives this context:

“With a 6% rate instead of 7%, buyers pay about $2,700 less every year on their mortgage. As a result, owning a home becomes affordable to about 1.4 million more renters and 4.3 million more homeowners.”

If 7% rates paused your homebuying plans last year, this could be the opportunity you need to get back in the game. Be sure to work with a team of experts who know the latest on mortgage rates and can give you the best advice for the current market.

2. Home Prices

The second factor at play is home prices. Home prices have made headlines over the past few years because they skyrocketed during the pandemic. When discussing home prices in 2023, Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at NAR, says:

“After a big boom over the past two years, there will essentially be no change nationally . . . Half of the country may experience small price gains, while the other half may see slight price declines.”

So, while prices will likely be flat this year in some markets, others could see small gains or slight declines. It all depends on your local area. For insight into what’s happening in your market and how prices are impacting affordability, reach out to a trusted real estate professional.

3. Wages

The final component in the affordability equation is wages. The graph below uses data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) to show how wages have increased over time:

The 3 Factors That Affect Home Affordability | MyKCM

When you think about affordability, remember the full picture includes more than just mortgage rates and prices. Wages need to be factored in as well. Because wages have been rising, many buyers have renewed opportunity in the market.

While affordability hurdles are not completely going away this year, based on current trends and projections, 2023 should bring some sense of relief to homebuyers who have faced growing challenges. As Mike Fratantoni, Chief Economist at the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), says:

“Rates are expected to move lower for the year, and home price growth is expected to cool, both of which will help affordability challenges.”

Bottom Line

If you have questions, let’s connect. You’ll also want to make sure you have a trusted lender so you can explore your financing options. You may be closer to owning a home than you think.

Real Estate December 23, 2022

The 2023 Housing Market – Expert Predictions

In an article published on December 19th, 2022 by senior contributor Brenda Richardson, Forbes features what some Real Estate experts predict for the Real Estate Market in 2023.

The one thing that everyone agrees on is that historically low rates and the buying frenzy of the last two years have come to an end.

Read what the experts have to say:

Danielle Hale, Realtor.com chief economist: After several years of an unambiguous sellers’ market, the 2023 housing market could feel more like a nobody’s market. We expect to see some buyer advantages in the form of 22.8% more homes for sale, however, the increase will result largely from homes taking longer to sell amid challenging affordability conditions. For-sale homes will remain high-priced, with the national annual median price for 2023 expected to advance another 5.4%—less than half the pace observed in 2022. Still high prices mean that homeowners are likely to walk away from a home sale with significant equity, if they decide to venture into the market and can find a buyer. On the whole, however, we expect home sales to be dramatically lower, down 14.1% compared to 2022 as both buyers and sellers pull back from a housing market and economy in transition.

Bob Pinnegar, president and chief executive officer of the National Apartment Association: Pursuing sustainable and responsible solutions to address our nation’s housing affordability crisis will remain a steadfast priority in the new year. Our nation’s affordability challenges stem from an alarming supply/demand imbalance, and to properly address this we must build 4.3 million new apartments by 2035.

On the economic side, supply chain issues have begun to ease and will hopefully continue to in the year ahead. While jobs are steady, the labor market faces challenges in areas like construction, where workers are needed. Inflation is starting to show signs of easing, but any of those impacts are unlikely to be seen until the end of 2023.

Nick Bailey, president and CEO of RE/MAX, LLC: One thing I can say for certain about the housing market in 2023 is that no matter the macro-economic conditions, Americans will continue to buy and sell millions of homes. Generally speaking, when we’re talking about the overall health of the housing market, most people are approaching that conversation from the lens of an investor. Will the market bottom out or have we hit the top? That’s an important conversation, but the truth is, people are getting married, divorced, moving to care for aging family members, relocating for career opportunities and so on, every single day. And for those people, it’s less about the interest rate or mortgage rates that week and more about their present situation and whether they can afford a house that fits their needs.

Jacob Channel, senior economist for LendingTree: The housing market will remain tough for many would-be buyers. While mortgage rates might stabilize, prices could decline, and buyers may be able to negotiate with sellers more in 2023 than they were able to over the height of the pandemic, that doesn’t mean that buying a home is suddenly going to become a walk in the park. On the contrary, affordability challenges will likely persist for many, owing to rates remaining steep and supply remaining limited. Borrowers shouldn’t expect rates to fall to anywhere near their record 2021 lows, or even to as low as they were at the start of 2022. Home prices won’t necessarily fall everywhere, but a combination of relatively high rates and weak home buyer demand will probably push prices down nationwide this year.

Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors and senior vice president of research: 4.78 million existing homes will be sold, prices will remain stable. Home sales will decline by 6.8% compared to 2022 (5.13 million) and the median home price will reach $385,800 – an increase of just 0.3% from this year ($384,500). Half of the country may experience small price gains, while the other half may see slight price declines.

Kate Wood, home expert at NerdWallet: After three years of a wildly unbalanced housing market, it’s tempting to hope 2023 will at last bring normalization. But the market remains far from normal, even if it’s no longer going to extremes. Rates have fallen from the peaks of October and November, but with continued upward pressure from the Federal Reserve the lows we’re seeing now could just be the eye of the hurricane. And major economic or geopolitical changes could, as they did this past year, totally upend rate forecasts. Home prices will likely continue dropping next year, but this won’t be a bubble bursting. These price drops will be more like a balloon slowly deflating — no longer headed skyward, but still hovering out of reach for many.

Thad Wong, co-CEO of Christie’s International Real Estate and @properties: 2023 will be a significantly better market than what many experts are predicting. There will be some price retraction off the record highs of early 2022, but generally, the next three to five years will be stable, fluid and relatively uneventful — which is exactly what the industry needs, after the last three years. There is an interesting dynamic now between inventory, interest rates and pricing. Inventory needs to stay low enough long enough for rates to ease back down, and I believe that low inventory levels will continue throughout 2023, which will put a floor under pricing. As interest rates move down, we’ll see affordability improve, demand pick up and healthier levels of inventory return.

 

Click HERE For the Full Article from Forbes

Homeowners December 16, 2022

Prevent Frozen Pipes in Your Home this Winter

One of the most common homeowner concerns and causes of property damage during the Winter months are frozen pipes; when the temperatures are below the freezing mark, and the pipes are not well insulated, the water inside can freeze and break he pipes.

Even the smallest break can end up costing thousands of dollars in damage and repairs!

Take the right steps to prevent your pipes from freezing:

  • Keep the garage door closed (especially if water supply lines are in the garage area)
  • Open interior doors throughout your home to allow for consistent and even distribution of warmth.
  • Occasionally, open your kitchen and bathroom cabinets to let warm air circulate the plumbing.
  • Determine which taps are fed by exposed piping or on an outside wall and let a couple run. Even a tiny trickle of warm or cold water can create enough friction to help prevent freezing.
  • Keep the thermostat set to the same temperature during the day and night. If you’re away from home for long periods, keep the heat temperature at 55 or above.
  • Adding insulation to your pipes is the best defense strategy and is often inexpensive. Pay particular attention to pipes in unheated interior spaces such as the basement, attic, or garage.

If your pipes freeze and bust, try not to panic, take these steps:

  • Stop the water flow by shutting off the water.
  • Reach out to your utility company to see about turning your power off if there is any standing water in your home.⁠
  • If you foresee potential water damage to wood floors, drywalls, or ceilings – a certified water removal company can help address and avoid future problems.
Real Estate November 18, 2022

What needs to be renovated before you sell your house?

Should You Update Your House Before You Sell?

Should You Update Your House Before You Sell? Ask a Real Estate Professional. [INFOGRAPHIC] | MyKCM

Some Highlights

  • You may be wondering what needs to be renovated before you sell your house. In today’s shifting market, making your house appealing is more important than ever.
  • That’s why it’s essential to lean on a real estate professional who has in-depth knowledge of today’s housing market. They know what buyers are looking for and how to highlight any upgrades you make.
  • Call me at 908-917-5801 and we’ll talk about it so  you know where to focus your efforts so your house will stand out in a today’s market.

 

*From Keeping Current Matters.The information contained, and the opinions expressed, in this article are not intended to be construed as investment advice. Keeping Current Matters, Inc. does not guarantee or warrant the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein. Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision. Keeping Current Matters, Inc. will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on the information or opinions contained herein.

Real Estate November 10, 2022

What’s Ahead for Mortgage Rates and Home Prices?

Expert insights on both mortgage rates and home prices 

Now that the end of 2022 is within sight, you may be wondering what’s going to happen in the housing market next year and what that may mean if you’re thinking about buying a home.

Mortgage Rates Will Continue To Respond to Inflation

There’s no doubt mortgage rates have skyrocketed this year as the market responded to high inflation. The increases we’ve seen were fast and dramatic, and the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate even surpassed 7% at the end of last month. In fact, it’s the first time they’ve risen this high in over 20 years (see graph below):

What’s Ahead for Mortgage Rates and Home Prices? | MyKCM

In their latest quarterly report, Freddie Mac explains just how fast the climb in rates has been:

“Just one year ago, rates were under 3%. This means that while mortgage rates are not as high as they were in the 80’s, they have more than doubled in the past year. Mortgage rates have never doubled in a year before.

Because we’re in unprecedented territory, it’s hard to say with certainty where mortgage rates will go from here. Projecting the future of mortgage rates is far from an exact science, but experts do agree that, moving forward, mortgage rates will continue to respond to inflation. If inflation stays high, mortgage rates likely will too.

Home Price Changes Will Vary by Market

As buyer demand has eased this year in response to those higher mortgage rates, home prices have moderated in many markets too. In terms of the forecast for next year, expert projections are mixed. The general consensus is home price appreciation will vary by local market, with more significant changes happening in overheated areas. As Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at First American, says:

“House price appreciation has slowed in all 50 markets we track, but the deceleration is generally more dramatic in areas that experienced the strongest peak appreciation rates.

Basically, some areas may still see slight price growth while others may see slight price declines. It all depends on other factors at play in that local market, like the balance between supply and demand. This may be why experts are divided on their latest national forecasts (see graph below):

What’s Ahead for Mortgage Rates and Home Prices? | MyKCM

Bottom Line

If you want to know what’s happening with home prices or mortgage rates, let’s connect so you have the latest on what experts are saying and what that means for our area.

The information contained, and the opinions expressed, in this article are not intended to be construed as investment advice. Keeping Current Matters, Inc. does not guarantee or warrant the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein. Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision. Keeping Current Matters, Inc. will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on the information or opinions contained herein.